Description

This analysis provides a forecast of AKT prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-09-28 0.657428 0.772436 0.897070 1.041615 1.204065 1.380423 1.585766
2025-10-05 0.468145 0.625537 0.813163 1.050542 1.339891 1.678096 2.100030
2025-10-12 0.346767 0.522393 0.750684 1.062190 1.468512 1.972513 2.636004
2025-10-19 0.258756 0.437172 0.688568 1.055638 1.563337 2.225275 3.135807
2025-10-26 0.191822 0.362993 0.623677 1.029038 1.620093 2.425156 3.575087
2025-11-02 0.150491 0.316485 0.587778 1.033619 1.713690 2.674443 4.089786
2025-11-09 0.112760 0.265390 0.533849 1.000319 1.744082 2.832374 4.483125
2025-11-16 0.090278 0.235529 0.508316 1.005742 1.829143 3.069605 4.996669
2025-11-23 0.071181 0.206654 0.478533 0.998436 1.890678 3.272509 5.467716
2025-11-30 0.061320 0.194786 0.477662 1.039614 2.031815 3.601744 6.138907
2025-12-07 0.051504 0.179969 0.468091 1.063004 2.143553 3.889706 6.759209
2025-12-14 0.039835 0.156343 0.435811 1.039280 2.171259 4.044361 7.180220
2025-12-21 0.033236 0.144599 0.427694 1.062501 2.285460 4.348667 7.855149
2025-12-28 0.027546 0.133412 0.418860 1.083359 2.397298 4.655806 8.549885
2026-01-04 0.022645 0.122639 0.408847 1.100312 2.502782 4.957353 9.248255
2026-01-11 0.017784 0.109483 0.390007 1.095673 2.566449 5.190214 9.843815
2026-01-18 0.013230 0.094629 0.363087 1.069137 2.584739 5.344298 10.314536
2026-01-25 0.010514 0.085871 0.350889 1.074223 2.664896 5.609512 10.978982
2026-02-01 0.007523 0.073206 0.323832 1.040034 2.662065 5.725244 11.394000
2026-02-08 0.005922 0.066626 0.313780 1.045690 2.740983 5.991150 12.072929
2026-02-15 0.004463 0.059336 0.299378 1.038180 2.790953 6.205264 12.668873
2026-02-22 0.003879 0.057641 0.303935 1.080661 2.951156 6.630859 13.646866
2026-03-01 0.003187 0.054312 0.301771 1.104783 3.072446 6.987556 14.513971